The impact of COVID-19 nonpharmaceutical interventions on the future dynamics of endemic infections RE Baker, SW Park, W Yang, GA Vecchi, CJE Metcalf, BT Grenfell Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 117 (48), 30547-30553, 2020 | 215 | 2020 |
Modeling shield immunity to reduce COVID-19 epidemic spread JS Weitz, SJ Beckett, AR Coenen, D Demory, M Dominguez-Mirazo, ... Nature medicine 26 (6), 849-854, 2020 | 208 | 2020 |
The time scale of asymptomatic transmission affects estimates of epidemic potential in the COVID-19 outbreak SW Park, DM Cornforth, J Dushoff, JS Weitz Epidemics 31, 100392, 2020 | 133 | 2020 |
Reconciling early-outbreak estimates of the basic reproductive number and its uncertainty: framework and applications to the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak SW Park, BM Bolker, D Champredon, DJD Earn, M Li, JS Weitz, ... Journal of the Royal Society Interface 17, 20200144, 2020 | 114 | 2020 |
Awareness-driven behavior changes can shift the shape of epidemics away from peaks and toward plateaus, shoulders, and oscillations JS Weitz, SW Park, C Eksin, J Dushoff Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 117 (51), 32764-32771, 2020 | 74 | 2020 |
Mathematical models to guide pandemic response CJE Metcalf, DH Morris, SW Park Science 369 (6502), 368-369, 2020 | 67 | 2020 |
Potential Role of Social Distancing in Mitigating Spread of Coronavirus Disease, South Korea SW Park, K Sun, C Viboud, BT Grenfell, J Dushoff Emerging infectious diseases 26 (11), 2020 | 60 | 2020 |
A practical generation-interval-based approach to inferring the strength of epidemics from their speed SW Park, D Champredon, JS Weitz, J Dushoff Epidemics 27, 12-18, 2019 | 48 | 2019 |
A double-edged sword: does highly active antiretroviral therapy contribute to syphilis incidence by impairing immunity to Treponema pallidum? ML Rekart, W Ndifon, RC Brunham, J Dushoff, SW Park, S Rawat, ... Sexually transmitted infections 93 (5), 374-378, 2017 | 38 | 2017 |
Forward-looking serial intervals correctly link epidemic growth to reproduction numbers SW Park, K Sun, D Champredon, M Li, BM Bolker, DJD Earn, JS Weitz, ... Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118 (2), 2021 | 35* | 2021 |
Epidemiological dynamics of enterovirus D68 in the United States and implications for acute flaccid myelitis SW Park, M Pons-Salort, K Messacar, C Cook, L Meyers, J Farrar, ... Science Translational Medicine 13 (584), eabd2400, 2021 | 20 | 2021 |
Inferring generation-interval distributions from contact-tracing data SW Park, D Champredon, J Dushoff Journal of the Royal Society Interface 17 (167), 20190719, 2020 | 20 | 2020 |
The importance of the generation interval in investigating dynamics and control of new SARS-CoV-2 variants SW Park, BM Bolker, S Funk, CJE Metcalf, JS Weitz, BT Grenfell, ... Journal of the Royal Society Interface 19 (191), 20220173, 2022 | 17* | 2022 |
Speed and strength of an epidemic intervention J Dushoff, SW Park Proceedings of the Royal Society B 288 (1947), 20201556, 2021 | 14 | 2021 |
A note on observation processes in epidemic models SW Park, BM Bolker Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 82 (3), 1-8, 2020 | 11 | 2020 |
The limits of SARS-CoV-2 predictability RE Baker, SW Park, CE Wagner, CJE Metcalf Nature Ecology & Evolution 5 (8), 1052-1054, 2021 | 9 | 2021 |
Effects of contact structure on the transient evolution of HIV virulence SW Park, BM Bolker PLoS computational biology 13 (3), e1005453, 2017 | 7 | 2017 |
Human ectoparasite transmission of the plague during the Second Pandemic is only weakly supported by proposed mathematical models SW Park, J Dushoff, DJD Earn, H Poinar, BM Bolker Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115 (34), E7892-E7893, 2018 | 5 | 2018 |
Direct and indirect mortality impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic in the US, March 2020-April 2021 WE Lee, SW Park, DM Weinberger, D Olson, L Simonsen, BT Grenfell, ... medRxiv, 2022 | 3 | 2022 |
Enterovirus D68: a test case for the use of immunological surveillance to develop tools to mitigate the pandemic potential of emerging pathogens H Nguyen-Tran, SW Park, K Messacar, SR Dominguez, MR Vogt, ... The Lancet Microbe 3 (2), e83-e85, 2022 | 2 | 2022 |